You say that you have a different take on the causes of the rent increases in SF, that doesn’t involve “scapegoating” a single group, but then cite the tech boom as one of the causes. The fact is that the tech sector is just about the only industry actually growing in SF, certainly the fastest growing— almost all of the others are actually contracting. I’m part of the tech sector, talk to them all the time, read their blogs and Twitter feeds, and I can tell you that those people are not moving here because of the scenery, or because of the “intact urban fabric”- they’re moving here for the high salaries and the jobs, since the tech industry is one of the few bright spots in the US economy, and, despite technological advances that make remote work possible, our mindset hasn’t caught up and tech businesses usually insist on having people in traditional offices. The fact is many of these tech workers find San Francisco dirty, smelly, flooded with dangerous homeless people, and complain about it constantly. God knows enough of them have ended up having to pull blog posts and issue apologies when they make their true opinions known though.
I also don’t believe the tech sector is being scapegoated. When the population of San Francisco exploded from 1000 in 1848 to 25,000 full-time residents by 1850 because of the Gold Rush, would it be scapegoating the miners to point out that they were the mainly responsible for that growth? Of course not. They were mainly responsible. And statistics point out today that the influx of people to SF are primarily tech workers. Are tech workers raising rents on their own? Of course not. Property owners and speculators are, in order to make the maximum amount of profit possible, regardless of what that means to San Francisco. As pointed out by Harvey Milk back in the 1970s, when you get speculation like this, it kills not only the poor, but also the middle class, and then the entire city, because it pulls so much money out of the pool of disposable income because all of that money is going to pay rent instead of to a wide variety of local businesses. This dispels the myth that all of that tech money will “trickle down”- it won’t, because it all goes the property owners and speculators.
What will be incredibly interesting to see is what will happen now, since the US government’s short-sighted surveillance culture has made US proprietary hardware and software tainted in the eyes of the world, and all of the denials of our companies and government officials meaningless, since we can’t trust a single thing they say because 1) we catch them in lies every day, and/or 2) the law won’t even allow them to tell the truth if they wanted. Many people were already predicting that this current boom only had two or three more years left, but given the actions of the US government, I believe it will be over much, much quicker.