Neither you nor Pielke have provided any evidence concerning the actual frequency or intensity of storm events. Without doing so, you cannot conclude that there is no increase in the frequency or intensity of storm events. You seem to be contradicting your initial post here when you said:
This is exactly the data I'm asking you (or Pielke) to provide to support Pielke's conclusion. It is, in fact, the evidence required to do so. Now you seem to be arguing that this is impossible to provide and even if it was provided it wouldn't prove anything. That's an interesting change of opinion in the space of a few comments.
The Munich RE data Pielke uses to prove his (1) actually contradicts this. You can see clearly on page 6 of the Munich RE webinar presentation that there has been a steady increase in frequency of extreme weather events. Perhaps this is why Pielke used that strange word "spike" in his analysis -- his own dataset shows an increase but not a "spike". Then again, a "spike" is often statistically insignificant whereas the steady increase in the Munich RE dataset does look quite statistically significant. However, if you would like -- and I've asked for this three times now -- to provide some data to the contrary I would be happy to consider it.
As it is, merely insisting Pielke demonstrated that there has been no increase in frequency or intensity of storms when he hasn't provided any evidence to bear on the question isn't going to impress anyone. It actually makes your argument look pretty bad, especially when you initially acknowledged that such evidence is required to make this determination and only now are backing away from that position, saying: "At this point in time, the data is scientifically insufficient but you may believe whatever you want."
On the contrary. There is plenty of evidence out there about the frequency and intensity of weather events and how they change over time. Try here, here, and here. I'm not going to spend all day doing your research for you, though, so if you have some studies that don't show any trend then please link them instead of just insisting over and over that Pielke demonstrated his claim without providing any evidence for it.
But you don't have to take my word on it. Here's Nate Silver talking about the shortcomings of Pielke's article:
As I mentioned, the central thesis of Roger’s article concerns the economic costs associated with natural disasters. But we also allowed a number of peripheral claims into the piece. For instance, Roger made a number of references to the overall incidence of natural disasters, as opposed to their economic cost.
We think many of these claims have support in the scientific literature, specifically including the 2013 IPCC report. But there is a range of debate among experts about others. Either way, these claims shouldn’t have been included in the story as offhand remarks. We should either have addressed them in more detail or scrubbed them from the article.
...Furthermore, there was some loose language in the article. We pride ourselves on precise, matter-of-fact language. These things reflect a poor job of editing on our part.
As you can see, Silver's own reservations about the article match my complaints exactly.
That's not really true. The warmest 10 years on record have all occurred since 1998. The last 15 years is the hottest 15 year period on record. The "flattened" global temps you mention are the result of starting a trendline on 1998 which is the third-hottest year on record. The hottest and second hottest are 2010 and 2005 respectively. If you cherry pick your trendlines you can make them go down but you can't make the last 15 years anything but the hottest 15 years in the history of human beings measuring temperature. Please take a look at that last link. It will make it pretty clear how bullshit this "flattening" argument is. Someone told me the link isn't working for them so here's the URL: http://americablog.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/skeptscience-realistclimateXX.gif
No, the fact that he claims weather events have not increased in frequency or intensity when his own dataset contradicts that claim is what makes him dishonest. And some other stuff you can find easily enough by googling "pielke dishonesty".
You seem to be misunderstanding the argument here. Pielke quotes IPCC saying "attributable signal" and he uses this as evidence that there is no signal at all. That's not valid reasonsing. It's changing the goalposts.
You know, I don't like to get into credentials in these sorts of discussions because it amounts to an argument from authority. However, Abraham has a PhD in mechanical engineering and specializes in thermodynamics and fluid flow whereas Pielke has a PhD in political science. Which is more relevant to climate science (the science itself, not subsequent policy discussions) is left as an exercise for the reader.
Well I'm not a "fan" of such efforts either, but I also don't have any particular problem if the readers of a publication don't like one of the writers and try to draw management's attention to this fact. Pielke has no constitutional right to a job at fivethirtyeight.com but he does have a constitutional right to free speech. If he loses his job he is not "silenced" because he still has that right to free speech and never had a right to the job in the first place. I think your loose use of the term "silenced" is actually pretty insulting to people living under political regimes where they are legitimately silenced by government force.