That’s a fair argument, and please understand, I’m not in the race for herd immunity. I just think it’s going to happen anyway.
Right now, also, the models have sharply revised downwards the numbers of deaths, even with social distancing/no quarantine/no stay at home orders.
As it stands, if we continue as we are now, by August we’ll be at 84,000 deaths and a decent enough herd immunity that deaths will level out. If we go back to social distancing from now in, we’ll be under the 200,000 .
The concern I have about all this is that as it works, as the stay at home works and flattens the curve/knocks the risk down, that republicans will pull the same shit that got pulled after Y2k, claiming, see, we ruined the economy on a lie.