With the general just starting now, Moore’s got a crystal ball he’s projecting his opinions into, so I don’t see any reason to worry too much about his guesses. There has been a trend of turnout increasing over time since the 90s, with turnout lower for incumbent races. Nothing currently suggests this one will be different. Trump might win, I’m not confident he’ll lose, but unless things change significantly, polling’s showed Trump trailing Clinton for months now, with only one outlier poll showing Trump winning in the Electoral College, and all showing a loss of popular vote.
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