I personally would not choose Biden and polls are often dubious, but we could look at the 2020 Democratic primary results to see the advantage Biden has…
Biden beat Elizabeth Warren handily in her own state… Biden beat Bernie in states that Biden didn’t even show up to (financially and physically). It only took a few endorsements for the wind to be taken out of the sails of every other candidate.
There seems to be a fairly wide gap between the people who regularly talk about politics on either side of the spectrum, and how the average american actually votes. Given how the last 10 years have gone it seems hard to imagine who else could possibly have a chance at beating Trump right now (which feels like a failing of the Democratic party, but it doesn’t make it any less scary).
