Blind, stupid serial luck. Multiple successes, many luck.
(actually enough successes that I think it is more then luck, but luck is a big chunk, and given how much of an ass he is I’m happy that some ill-luck has floated his way, especially since it hasn’t significantly impacted SpaceX or Tesla which I think make important products, likely largely in spite of his leadership…which I know conflicts with me saying there is more then luck going on, I could claim that I think he is good at the startup phase, but really I’m just conflicted on his value, and maybe influenced by not actually liking him as a human)
