I think Canadian and American politics are very similar in that they both work on a “kick the bums out” system. The majority of the population doesn’t actually like any of the options all that much, so two parties just take turns pissing the electorate off. I think Trudeau’s got a second term in him, but basically the longer you’ve been in power the less likely you are to win, and it hardly even matters who you are running against (unless your opponent is just direly stupid, like in the last Ontario election). The anti-Trudeau sentiment is going to matter a lot more than the pro-whoever sentiment. In some ways getting a Conservative or Liberal party leadership is like a free ticket to be Prime Minister (unless your party gets angry when you don’t win an election you were never going to win and kicks you out).
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