Another little update-
The FT have made their analysis and visualisation of the outbreak free and have placed it outside their paywall.
Their visualisation shows quite clearly how the centre of the outbreak has shifted, first to Europe, then to the Americas.
Just FTR, the phrasing is ambiguous. Covid-19 has an average incubation period of under a week. Two weeks are rather rare in the datasets, and everything above three weeks can be considered an outlier. (But it apparently happens.)
Then again, the numbers of new infections are fiddly in itself. Not diving into details, but there are lags in testing and reporting.
Bottom line: It is to early to tell what effect the protests will have on the case numbers. We will only see the results after some time, when case reporting is corrected.
I found this interesting in regard to the situation in Germany.
The dashboard shows data on ICUs across Germany, inclduding information on how many ICU beds are occupied by Covid-19 patients, how many are ventilated, and whatās the percentage of Covid-19 cases of the total local number of ICU beds.
Sidenote: there is a ton of interesting data visualisations online, and despite I hate to use ESRI products myself out a decades long fight with those products, I am impressed by their help in this.
This.
It doesnāt make sense to argue on the one hand that some crowds are a probable source of infection but others arenāt, just because some of the crowds exist for more important reasons.
I think the protesters have mostly tried to stay socially responsible. However, it isnāt always possible, if you have police kettling or unexpectedly high turnout or even some moderate fraction of the crowd who doesnāt understand or agree with the rules (like some of the mask-wearers in photos with the masks around their chins, or who remove their masks to shout).
Tomorrowās demonstration at the US Embassy in Oslo is expected to draw over 10,000 people. I might go ā the embassy has actually welcomed the protest! ā but probably wonāt, as 10k maskless people on the embassy grounds will not be able to keep even 1 metre apart.
(Incidentally, while I generally donāt think that masks make sense outdoors, this is the kind of situation where they absolutely do. )
The oppression that requires protesting will almost certainly cause a shitload of new infection. The idiocy that preceded the protests will also create a shitload of new infection.
And it is extremely predictable that the media will publish a fuckton of articles that blame the protests and ignore the idiocy.
That was the point of the tweet.
Shocking.
I know itās necessary, but I still shudder at āGive more of my tax dollars to Frontier and Comcast!ā
Iām sure this time theyāll be responsible and honorable about it.
One lesson from the pandemic is, or should be, that internet needs to be a public utility. Comcast can just sell content over the wire like Hulu and Pluto.
https://www.tucsonweekly.com/TheRange/archives/2020/06/04/puzzle-of-the-day-can-you-spot-the-pattern
For all their talk, Republicans clearly do not believe in Hell.
Both the two main universities in Arizona have outstanding groups in applied mathematics. This nonsense is not going to go unnoticed.
Does it matter? Douchy kicked academic advisement to the curb a month ago.
It might. I donāt know much about Arizona, but in most states Iāve lived in, even ones where university professors are widely regarded as ivory-tower pinkos, when science faculty from the flagship schools show up in the local papers with op-eds or interviews on aspects of policy in their area of expertise, people pay attention.
In two of the three States Iāve lived in, that is 100% not the case.
Which, presumably, doesnāt require a curfew, while walking your dog and running errands is basically prohibited by a curfew. So the answer is āweāre enforcing curfew selectively against the type of person who breaks windows, smokes marijuana and shoots people. And you know what type of person that is.ā
Yuck.
Iām sorry to hear that.
In Arizona it looks like the Governor didnāt like the news coming out of the teams at U of A and ASU, and essentially tried to fire them, though I understand (from other channels) they are just continuing their work without the official DHS imprimature:
Whether there is a backlash from that remains to be seen, though the Arizona Republic op-ed is obviously trying to make a deal of it.
Daily: Majority of Finnish residents plan local holiday travel
Iāll admit, social distancing comes pretty easily in a canoe in the back country of Algonquin Park. Iāll be vacationing ālocallyā for sureā¦ 
ā¦and itās a nice restful image, no?..
@d_r Iāve got you beat: 11,000km to my SO.
Got you beatā¦ 13,853km from mine 
