Explainer video - this is a good time to understand what exponential growth means

[anon29537550]

Worldwide transmission and seasonal variation of pandemic influenza...

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9/fulltext

The real number of coronavirus cases is more than 75,000, according to a...

None of this is definitive, but reasonable starting point at least.