I’ve read a couple of his newsletter posts. He’s basically been saying that the models that the likelihood for Trump winning is 50.1, and Kamala Harris is 49.9.
That might be frustrating as someone who wants to know RIGHT NOW that Trump has lost and will never be heard from again, but the reality seems to be that the swing states are too close to call. And that’s not really a surprise. In the last two elections, Donald’s shown he can get 47% of the vote and get just the right set of states to win the electoral vote. The same is true this election.
I know many Democrats are thinking this is going to be a big win for Kamala Harris. I certainly hope so. But I will be more surprised by that outcome than a close electoral contest.
