I don’t think that’s the case. Here the cat is going by a prediction, which is more complex than simply seeing something fly away. It knows from experience that the card should be launched, and it doesn’t see the card in his hand any more so it assumes it was flung far away. Of course it’s confused.
The cat looks pretty young and will eventually catch on; it will still be fooled initially but will look back and wait for him to really throw it, along with an indignant look that says “you’re how old and still acting like a brat?”