NSA probably hasn't broken strong crypto

But they know we don’t trust them. So maybe they said they haven’t broken strong crypto because they want us to think that they have broken it, when in fact they actually haven’t! Maybe ROT13 is the only code the NSA can’t crack, which is why they’ve been completely silent about it ever since the Snowden leaks dropped.

In crypto, as in any scientific field, there’s no room for conspiracy thinking. There is no disinformation, there’s only information (substantiated, verifiable observations) and non-information (unsubstantiated claims). Schneier does a great job keeping us focused on the former.