To add to that: Not every first-time drunken rapist is a first-time drunken rapist.
I have the misfortune of knowing someone who made international headlines a few years ago when, at age 50 he was convicted of drunkenly raping a 16-year-old, claiming that she raped him.
He spent only a few months in jail for it. Because, among other things, it was his “first offence.”
In reality it was his first conviction. I found out a decade before that he was a serial rapist. As a relative of his casually put it at the time, “Well. ____, he gets drunk once in a while and rapes someone. One of these days it’ll get him in trouble.”
I was already avoiding him - Let’s just say it’s not the only way he destroys lives. But I put extra effort into avoiding him after that. The last I heard he was convicted for internet luring.