I’m not really inclined to do your homework for you. Especially since I’m pretty sure I remember people providing citations on all this repeatedly in past gun threads here including in response to this same line from you.
While I’m sure your “op-secing” around in full unibomer garb throwing off tails. I know you have guns, I’m sure people in your community do as well. And crime just generally doesn’t that way. There’s nobody stalking you specifically and figuring out how to Entrapment their way into your basement.
The most likely situation is that some one you know pulls something. Like shootings it’s not some outsider coming for you. It’s your dentist’s nephew.
As for organized or repeat criminals. The demographics of gun ownership are obvious and well known. Which neighborhoods are least secure typically is too. The way strings of robberies usually work is just spot checking a bunch of buildings or cars in a likely area. Then focusing on the areas that prove fruitful. No one needs to know you specifically have have x guns, their value, and the code to your safe. They just need to know that your neighborhood likely has guns, and start poking around till they find them.
I’ve got personal experience with both ends of that. My grandmother had a bunch of my grandfather’s guns stolen a few years back. It was my uncle, who had simply copied some keys while staying with her, and returned while she wasn’t home.
A few years back we had a string of strange seeming car break-ins around my town. Multiple break-ins on a given street in a short span of time, moving around different areas over time. Little was stolen in most cases, often times nothing at all. None of the torn out radios or stripped wheels of stereotype.
I had assumed it was bored teens looking for beer, cigarettes and pot. But both the detectives investigating and every person I know in law enforcement said addicts, looking for guns. This is apparently a common enough thing to be the default assumption when a string of car robberies breaks out.
Sure enough when they caught the guys they were sitting on a pile of stolen guns, including a couple of police duty weapons. And had been responsible for multiple similar strings of car break ins around the region.
One of the neighborhoods targeted was mine, including a break in on my street. My neighborhood has, I think 6 retired law enforcement people and one current State Trooper who regularly parks his squad car in the driveway.
And about 4 or 5 months before the break in on my block we’d had a neighborhood yard sale. Multiple people showed inquiring about guns for sale, and one of those retired police officers had sold an old hunting rifle to one them.
I kinda suspect those guys were targeting neighborhoods with cops, cause cops got guns. And one of the neighbors recognized one the thieves from the yard sale. The police never followed up on either, despite it being reported to them. Just kinda took the easy conviction and that was the last I heard about it.
That is part and parcel of why you can’t look at these things in terms of your own assumptions and individual framing. They’re society wide, statistical sorts of things. And just like gun violence, the realities of how they function don’t fit the common assumptions.
