I doubt it. The Chinese will make deals with the Taliban. They have no real problem with anything that goes on inside Afghanistan as long as they get their rare earth minerals to make iPhones. The Taliban will make some good coin on the transactions, selling their mining rights cheaply, and they will make sure that no airplanes bump into Chinese real estate.
It’s kind of a tortured analogy, given that the invading Taliban will be the ones committing genocide.
But the Taliban’s future neighbor Pakistan will have every interest in keeping Afghanistan a Taliban-ruled narco-caliphate. Pakistan’s whole defense plan hinges on a weak, hobbled Afghanistan, in their minds, to avoid encirclement. The failure to address Afghanistan-Pakistan-India as a system was a major failing of US foreign policy for last 20 years.
