On the one hand, I’d love to use this in the city. And it makes sense that a decentralized network of self-driving cars sharing one algorithm could be not only safer, but much more efficient, with higher speeds and smaller gaps between vehicles, because the algorithm could track the environment across an arbitrary distance from each vehicle, so a deer blocking traffic could be known for miles around and traffic automatically coordinated for an optimal solution to any congestion. Instead of drivers trying to predict each others’ decisions and reactions, the algorithm will simply allocate maneuvers as part of an overall orchestrated flow.
The reductions in travel time and road maintenance requirements alone will convince most major cities to save money and boost productivity by mandating all new cars be self-driving in urban areas. It will start with self-driving-only lanes, but will end in 20 or so years with self-driving freeways and anywhere other than some residential roads. Especially as the few US cities with passable mass transit systems like the BART and the DC Metro continue to let them fall into decay.
We’ll see a lot more people getting their Class M licenses and switching to motorcycles for the simple reason that, while I’m sure its possible in principle to make a motorcycle with autopilot, it will be longer coming. I’m personally fine with all the drivers around my bike surrendering to a computer that, unlike most of them, sees me and will do everything it can to avoid making me roadkill ![]()