Theresa May faces a no confidence vote today

Hmm. Kind of, it shows options that in reality are extremely unlikely but in general it’s correct. Going to assume that the vote, whenever it happens (if at all), will fail. Then the options are:

Go back to EU: the EU will not reopen negotiations, period. Doomed to fail.

Throw hail Mary: May has stated repeatedly that she won’t accept a new referendum, and a general election at this point is suicidal.

Parliament intervenes: maybe. I’d still consider it unlikely, since there doesn’t seem to be a majority for anything at all right now. How they’d unite on anything is hard to imagine.

No deal exit: most likely outcome in my opinion. Every day that passes without one of the other outcomes makes this more likely, and the UK government has been doing nothing but wasting time the last couple of years.

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