At the height of the Omicron surge, when wastewater levels were high, there were 33.64 deaths/week of unvaccinated people per 100k pop due to COVID, and 3.33 deaths/week of vaccinated people per 100k pop due to COVID.
Assuming that your state roughly mirrored national levels of COVID cases, vaccination rates and deaths, that would be around 437/week deaths of the vaccinated and 43/week deaths of the vaccinated.
I saw your follow-up that the number was currently 6 per week, and I assume that would be a mix of the vaccinated and unvaccinated. With a population of 1.3M, it’s clear that is far lower than the peak nationwide during the Omicron surge.
While this does not indicate there is no risk, and nosaj’s breakdown makes a lot of sense here, neither current COVID wastewater levels or death rates can be reasonably described as “high” by the standard of peak rates of prior years.
