I have seen a couple of theories on this.
One says that the MAGAverse is actively telling supporters, especially in these states, to respond to pollsters so as to tip the scales (as pollsters cannot account for people who refuse to answer questions to begin with) with an eye toward creating chaos (again) when Trump loses (again).
The other is that polling no longer accounts for how people actually communicate (I mean, when was the last time you actually answered the phone?) and so is increasingly divorced from reality.
I’m hoping that this isn’t a case of “people are just plain stupid.” But at the same time, as scary as this is, I also hope that these polls showing a tight race will light a fire under people’s butts and motivate them to actually vote. The polling in 2016 may very well have convinced some people that there was no need.
