Note this article isn’t simply about predictions, and fishing for reasons to distrust models is very hollow when you consider this is about observed warming. I’ve asked Hannes to leave me alone, and so should do the same for him, but I think it’s fair to point out what is really the topic here.
(Edit: to be clear, I was replying to the following post. I added this because I felt I should explain why I won’t be talking to Hannes, not to start such a conversation.)
You’re mistaken in this. If you observe it carefully, your map only shows five areas within 0.5 degrees of average - whether above or below is not actually marked - and nothing lower than that.
The rest of the country is at least 0.5 degrees above average and in two places more than 1.5 degrees. NOAA’s map averages Portugal into squares marked as warmer than average, so that agrees with the more detailed results.
