Floods, Fires, and Heat Domes (the climate change thread) (Part 1)

ohyes, said that here a few weeks ago in a response-post;

there are certain things we cant stop anymore, no matter what; searise is now completly out of our hand, there is literally nothing anymore to stop that whatsoever

from the guardian:

Accelerated ice melt in west Antarctica is inevitable for the rest of the century no matter how much carbon emissions are cut, research indicates.

no shit.

Prof Alberto Naveira Garabato, at the University of Southampton, UK, said: “This is a sobering piece of research. However, it should also serve as a wake-up call

oh. yeah. another one. “should” serve as…but this time for real. seriously.

(godfuckingdammit!)

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This is all so totally, totally unexpected…

Who is this guy?

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We’re getting close to Arrhenius’s K=1.5 times concentration of CO₂ from his 1895 baseline, which he predicted would about 3.2°C near the equator to 3.6°C warming at the poles.

His calculations are fairly extensive for 1895, and we’re tracking them, certainly within error bounds. :thinking:

Dr. von Ditfurth’s 2°C to 3°C by 2050 is tracking well, isn’t it?

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“We also call to stabilise and gradually decrease the human population with gender justice through voluntary family planning and by supporting women’s and girls’ education and rights, which reduces fertility rates,” they said.

ups. elno of mars wont like that…

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“But what does billionaire toddler Elon Musk think about the climate?”

Zim Good question...but I don't care

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There’s a part of me, both bleak and dimly hopeful, that thinks that if anyone can shake the economic and political worlds awake on this topic, it’s the insurance companies. Actuarial tables don’t lie.

Of course, by then it’ll probably already be too late.

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Apropos: today’s Toronto :canada: Star column by economist Armine Yalnizyan discusses exactly that, and notes the warning given by Munich Re in 1973 regarding the insurance costs of climate change. My money is on the forecasts by the re-insurance companies, they have the most general and biggest exposures.

(Alternative link…)

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image

Meanwhile in Va. we’ve had multiple days of unseasonably warm weather. Several days of 80’s drying out all the fall leaves for a early drop.

Thinking about landscaping with palms next year.

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https://archive.ph/Z8BK2

No construction had begun on these wind farms.

205 mph winds recorded in Hurricane Otis, the one that devastated Acapulco. Among the highest ever recorded, though they acknowledge that winds that fast sometimes destroy wind measurement devices.

ETA: for reference, the highest ever recorded on US soil is 186mph.

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