Continuing coronavirus happenings (Part 1)

Come on, people. This is what’s really important: Covid-19 and its impact on college football. /s


Just… I just can’t even write a coherent (or incoherent) rant about how much is wrong with this.
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Right? Here’s a universal answer:

Is it better for [person] to get COVID-19 now?

NO

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I think on my campus any coach who made any such comment would be sacked pretty quickly, one advantage of sports being less powerful here than in many places. I hope the coaches who reportedly shared such sentiments with al.com get outed and held accountable for their statements.

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The return of “coronavirus parties”?

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It’s an opinion piece from April from an American Enterprise Institute guy.

@anon29537550 Lagging by roughly 2 weeks, give or take.

@LutherBlisset that might be underestimating the lag.

My first thought was that there was too much variability in the U.S. stats to talk about a lag for the country as a whole, but today’s deaths data point is wild (CSSE data, again, usual caveats). That sudden spike suggests (strongly) to me that we may have seen some (intentional or unintentional) suppression of the count that has been masking the delay.

Given the news out of Florida on case report suppression I suppose this spike shouldn’t surprise me. I’ve been sitting here for a week wondering why the death count has not followed the case count lately, I suppose we just got our answer. I have to wonder if, at the middle of May or the first of June, there was a break in the accounting (intentional? unintentional?) that has just caught up. The jump in deaths and cases in the same day suggest reporting problems.

As a side note: I’m a doggedly independent thinker (a delusion at best, I know) and I frequently underestimate the effects of leadership on general population. I’m having to re-calibrate my instincts on this one. (:canada: also… FTR…)

Edit: @anon29537550 beat me to it but the spike in deaths is all in New Jersey…

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Well, we may need some time re-calibrating on this specific issue, because I think we can only evaluate this in hindsight.

That said, the current “leadership” in the US… Well, please elect them out. Or even better, tell them to get lost right now. Even if “leadership” would have a small effect on the general population, they definitely have an effect on the political sphere and administration. Which has an effect on the general population. Coming back to the specifics, one part of the world stares at the US and thinks you’ve completely lost your wits, while the other part is either to occupied with themselves or already arrived at this conclusion some time ago.

I’m currently in the first group.

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Did you see what happened in the UK?

And as if this wasn’t terrible enough:

For me, a most harrowing statement:

Council leader Vikki Slade said there had been problems in Bournemouth since lockdown first eased in May. She said the fact that pubs, bars and restaurants are still closed pushed people towards the town’s beaches and pier.

They are going to open the pubs in England on a Saturday. Tomorrow. That’s one of the worst ideas I’ve came across these days weeks this month.

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Finally! Better late than never. I wonder if the texas governor changed his mind bc the statistics are scewing white for infections? ETA: I don’t know if they are.

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Meanwhile, Notre Dame stated about a month ago that there would be no fall sports if the campus wasn’t open for classes. Education first and foremost.

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We know for certain that there’s been case count suppression in Florida. We have reason to believe that there will be COVID-19 death count suppression as well. But in a couple of weeks, it’s going to be damned hard to hide the effect on all-causes mortality. Although I expect Florida will try, so expect that there will be unexplained administrative delays in processing death certificates. Because the people who started suppressing the data will hope against hope that if only they can hide a day longer, there might be some miracle tomorrow, or simply will keep up the lies out of habit.

“I am in blood
Stepp’d in so far that, should I wade no more,
Returning were as tedious as go o’er.
Strange things I have in head that will to hand,
Which must be acted ere they may be scanned.” (Macbeth III, iv, 142-146)

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I think the National Review misspelled “coroner” up at the top, there.

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May God have mercy on the souls that have to tell florida man that they can’t serve em happy juice

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Yesterday NJ reported 1700+ deaths with no explanation (that I saw.) That is insane if real.

ETA: Here is what Worldometer says about it today:

" * NOTE: New Jersey reported 1,854 probable COVID-19 deaths for the first time today. We have allocated the additional deaths (and an equivalent number of probable cases as every probable death is the outcome of a probable case) over New Jersey’s historical time series proportionally, based on the existing daily new death percentage increases [source] [source]

June 24 June 23 June 22 June 21 June 20 May 14 May 8

[View More News [image]](javascript:void(0))"

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It’s consistent with what we saw from Italy and China, though. When the hospital system gets so backed up that all they can do is do their best to deal with what’s in front of them, testing and paperwork take a distant back seat. Once they get room to breathe, it starts to catch up and the mortality count catches up to reality. But it looks like a spike instead, and leads to questions rather than answers.

Has NY had it’s catch-up spike, yet? I would expect it to be bigger than NJ’s.

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How to respond to Covid? Well, let’s first deport a whole bunch of healthcare workers

Then let’s take medical insurance from a whole swath of the population

That should do it, right?

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Because it was inevitable…

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I’ll wait for the version that has to have a constant internet connection to work, and if it loses connection to the license server it cuts off all respiratory functions. That’s sure to be better.

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