Drums of War

GagHalfrunt · July 16, 2024, 4:53pm

bucaneer · July 16, 2024, 5:36pm

Here’s one scenario how the near future might go ugly:

Russia’s primary objective in attacking NATO territory would not be to take & hold land - at least initially. Russia would want to challenge Art. 5 to destroy NATO as a relevant military-political entity, giving it free rain in the future.

How might achieve this? By initiating small-scale incursions into Eastern Europe, followed by rapid escalation against Western European states to increase the costs of resistance, and coerce them into seeking a settlement. If Western Europeans falter, NATO is finished.

[…]

With Vance as the VP pick and considering his previous comments on Ukraine and Europe (along with those of Trump), it’s clear that a US withdrawal from NATO—whether formal or through political statements—is fully on the table.

[…]

While a Trump Administration might not change the previously given 2-3 year timeframe, it significantly increases the likelihood that Putin will challenge Art. 5 in the years ahead. It is paramount that we act, and I want European decision-makers to panic. Not the kind of panic that paralyzes you, but the kind that triggers your fight-or-flight instinct—and you choose to fight.

vermes82 · July 17, 2024, 12:13pm

vermes82 · July 17, 2024, 4:04pm

hecep · July 17, 2024, 6:58pm

My translation: Trump is now inviting China to interfere (or increase interference?) with 2024 presidential election… or re-inviting them (with Trump/China having come to that understanding earlier).

BakaNeko · July 17, 2024, 8:38pm

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/us-deployment-of-ballistic-missiles-in-philippines-threatens-regional-security-china/3267433l

vermes82 · July 18, 2024, 9:35am

BakaNeko · July 18, 2024, 11:56am

BakaNeko · July 18, 2024, 8:27pm

vermes82 · July 21, 2024, 6:53am

Mindysan33 · July 21, 2024, 6:54am

We’re so fucked…

Mindysan33 · July 21, 2024, 3:43pm

vermes82 · July 21, 2024, 3:53pm

GagHalfrunt · July 22, 2024, 12:49pm

eastern.hemlock · July 22, 2024, 1:14pm

US-Japan Patriot missile production plan hits Boeing component roadblock

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/us-japan-patriot-missile-production-plan-hits-boeing-component-roadblock-2024-07-20/

BakaNeko · July 22, 2024, 5:57pm

GagHalfrunt · July 22, 2024, 5:58pm

BakaNeko · July 22, 2024, 7:53pm

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2024/07/18/suez-canal-s-income-falls-amid-yemen-houthi-attacks-

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-launches-effort-to-stop-russia-from-arming-houthis-with-antiship-missiles-98131a8a

GagHalfrunt · July 23, 2024, 2:20pm

GagHalfrunt · July 23, 2024, 2:43pm

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