Floods, Fires, and Heat Domes (the climate change thread) (Part 1)

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hollywood, 1973;

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This is alarming because last year’s extreme heat could be largely attributed to a combination of man-made global heating – caused by burning gas, oil, coal and trees – and a natural El Niño phenomenon, a warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean surface that is associated with higher temperatures in many parts of the world. The El Niño has been fading since February of this year, but this has brought little relief.

“Far from dwindling with the end of El Niño, records are falling at even much faster pace now compared to late 2023,”

finaly its been adressed that the impact of the last El Niño was wildly overestimated. its all on us now, no excuses anymore;

The WMO has also reported that at least 10 countries have recorded temperatures above 50C so far this year.

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speaking of which;

Musk: But I think if you just keep increasing the cost of a million in the atmosphere long enough, eventually, it actually simply gets uncomfortable to breathe, people don’t realize this. If you go, if you go past 1000 parts per million of CO2, you start getting headaches and nausea. And so we’re now in the sort of 400 range, we’re adding, I think, about roughly two parts per million per year. So I mean, still gives us what it means, like, we still have quite a bit of time.

yes, elon, the real problem would be slightly uncomfortable breathing at 1000 ppm co2 (the equivalent of most indoor rooms with people in it), not the at least 10C higher average global temps than today.

unfuckingbelivable.

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104 degrees Fahrenheit

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July was second warmest on record, ending record-breaking 13-month streak

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barely;

and august started at higher temps than ever…even if its just a bit more than last year. el nino started fading in february and temps still going up.

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Germany is expecting to see its hottest day of the year on Tuesday with temperatures forecast to reach almost 40C.

thankfully it was just one day and “just” some parts in the south…but 30-35C for july-august seems to getting the norm, which is insane. 20 years ago such temps were the peaks.

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Impact of floods on crops:

This past report focused more on heat and drought, but as mentioned at the end wet weather is also a concern. We might see similar reports from China after disasters like the ones reported above:

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its wheat production this year drop to 26.3 million tons, down almost 25 percent compared to 2023

damn, thats really bad.

e/ it really is; seems like this will be the worst harvest since 1996 (start of list), second would be 2016 with 29.3 million t, every other year is at least over 30 m t and most over 35-38 m t:

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the NOAA says it was the warmest, beating july 2023 by a fraction;

The world just had its hottest July ever recorded, elongating a string of monthly temperature highs that now stretch back for 15 consecutive months…

“The streak started in June 2023 and now exceeds the record streak set over 2015 and 2016,” said Karin Gleason, monitoring section chief at Noaa’s National Centers for Environmental Information, who added that last month’s record was by a “photo finish” small margin over last July

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Sorry nothing in English.

The submerging swamp dried up and began to crack “like in Africa” - a record drought torments Upper Lapland
Utsjoki has also had a record number of hot days. The heat and dryness cause a challenge to move around in nature.

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:canada:'s wheat crop outlook for 2024 is down a bit but still fairly good. :ukraine: is getting wheat to market. Ontario has a lot of potential farm land in the Clay Belt that is now warm enough that we can get a crop off.

Plus there’s the potential for farm free food production seems to be getting some traction.

We’ll likely be eating a lot less bacon for breakfast in future, but the planet is still cracking out 50% more food than we need. I think we’ve got some exciting work ahead of us.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/climate/david-keith-solar-geoengineering.html

This Scientist Has a Risky Plan to Cool Earth. There’s Growing Interest.

David Keith wants to spray a pollutant into the sky to block some sunlight. He says the benefits would outweigh the danger.

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… is that a “Snowpiercer” joke :thinking:

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I made a joke. But this engineer guy is super serious.

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