Another disaster caused by diverting rivers decades ago, and the results today:
BC got hit by a major atmospheric river over the weekend. Lots of people I know there were impacted. One of the videos in this story was taken about 200m from my old apartment in Surrey at an intersection I passed through regularly.
It would really be nice if we could convince our governments to take this shit seriously.
Not one-boxing,
" COPENHAGEN, Oct 21 (Reuters) - More than 40 climate scientists are urging Nordic ministers to prevent global warming from causing a major change in an Atlantic Ocean current, which could trigger abrupt shifts in weather patterns and damage ecosystems.
A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, a system of ocean currents that transports warm water into the North Atlantic and provides Europe its mild climate, could put living conditions for people in the Arctic region and beyond at risk, according to the scientists."
The insurer of last resort. 
Florida’s top insurer reportedly did not make payments on more than three-quarters of claims for Hurricane Debby, sparking concern that a similar amount could be denied for damage caused by the more recent Hurricanes Helene and Milton.
Citizens Property Insurance has denied 77 percent of insurance claims relating to Hurricane Debby, which hit Florida’s Big Bend region in early August, according to a report by NOTUS. Across all Florida insurers, as of September 27, 51 percent of all residential claims made in relation to Debby were closed without a payment.
Citizens Property Insurance was formed as a state-backed insurer of last resort in response to Florida residents struggling to obtain policies amid a major surge in premiums among private insurers.
Also covered in the Guardian today, the letter itself starts with a fairly stark plot of what happens after the AMOC collapses.
Recent research since the last IPCC report does suggest that the IPCC has underestimated this risk and that the passing of this tipping point is a serious possibility already in the next few decades.
The paper cites the work by the Ditlevsens et al. last year, already noted on the BBS. Rahmstorf’s recent work is also cited, a paper that I found easy to read and fairly alarming.
Of the latest model generation (CMIP6), in four out of the 35 models, subpolar gyre convection breaks down—and all four are in the group of the 11 best models in terms of reproducing the vertical density profiles in the subpolar gyre (Swingedouw et al., 2021). That’s in 36% of those high-quality models. In the previous model generation (CMIP5), that number was 45%. What’s more, it typically happens as soon as the year 2040 and for moderate emission scenarios—even without properly accounting for Greenland melt.
Always and ever, trying to “not appear alarmist” effectively means downplaying the risk and making it look like we have all the time in the world, and “surely our grandkids will figure this out!” It’s no longer our grandkids, it’s us, and we could do something, but choose not to. This is on us, man.
