Part of the Constitutional Court decision forbade the Ministery of the Interior to pass on any results before the last polls close. So for the first time in recent memory, they don’t have the first estimates ready at exactly 17:00. So the statisticians have just received data and started calculating their estimates, so we’ll have to wait a few more minutes.
The popular vote is all that counts here. The non-bigoted candidate won at our last attempt, but only by fractions of one percent, so the popular mood might have shifted by that much during seven more months of campaigning.
The other candidate is from the party of bigoted demagogues, but is still preferable to Trump, way more pro-EU than half of Britain’s politicians. and has been trying to be seen as a civilized, reasonable, moderate during most of his campaign.