Well, so much for my theories.
That's what I get for trying to predict the most unpredictable show on television – of course that's also what makes it so god damn good!
Jesse does end up as a long term hostage, though, and Gomey got it pretty fast as predicted. But man, so dark. Ain't nobody having an A-1 day on this show any more.
Some things I wonder about for the next episode, which will presumably be "many months later.."
the fate of the recording Hank made with Jesse.
what Marie will do, since she has confirmation that Hank isn't coming back and thus nothing to lose.
I feel like the last episode is going to be Walt doing whatever he got the ricin and M60 to do, but the next one, the one before that, has to be fallout exposition and buildup to the final mystery confrontation.
My money is still on saving Jesse.