Have you looked at polling data from previous election year summers? Or like the percentage of people who know their own state’s governor or senators or even the name of the sitting president in non-election years?
What I’m saying is that those numbers are usually much worse. And I’m not saying that it’s great news. I’m saying that it’s surprising.
Example:
I doubt even half of people know who their US senators are. But the amount of media attention the presidental election receive ever time in the last several decades. I find it rather shocking that anyone who intends the big te hasn’t heard the news in a last several weeks. Certainly some have missed the t because they are out on hikes or otherwise disconnected, but those people aren’t getting chatted up by pollsters either.
So I would put different categories or different levels of knowledge we can expect from people. Knows English but doesn’t know the difference between your and you’re? Yea, that’s a fairly big fraction of people. Doesn’t know who is running in the biggest media spectacle of the year AND has registered to vote AND intends to vote? That’s a very low P()
It’s August. The VP candidates have just joined the race in the past few weeks.
Walz is the first VP pick in many cycles who’s gotten this level of press and attention not for being terrible/scary or too bland/centrist but for being a relatable and funny decent person.
That may fall off as the focus shifts back to the candidates for President and Biff starts trying to hide a running mate he knows is repulsive to a lot of Republican and independent voters. However, the Dems seem to understand what’s been given to them in both VP candidates, so this might be another exception to business as usual in U.S. elections.
I look forward to the epidemiological study of covid deaths that demonstrates how many elections the Republicans lose because they told their followers to ignore doctors and scientists because it would own the libs.
It also helped that Reform UK stripped off the more extreme fascists, allowing Labour to win. Keir Starmer actually got fewer votes than Corbyn did in 2017, so they aren’t exactly popular outside the zentrumist Starmerite bubble. The traditional Tories didn’t vote for Labour, they stayed at home or voted Lib Dem. The left voted for Green or anti genocide candidates.
I don’t know what will happen at the next election, or if I will still be in the UK. I already think Starmer is worse than Cameron (at least he wasn’t openly transphobic), and there’s still four years, ten months for things to get worse.
Harris, Walz, please don’t fuck this up. Losing the left (not including the tankies, they weren’t on your side to start with) will be as bad as losing the right wing Democrats, and if Democrats do the blame game again then don’t expect them to come back.
They were saying on the news how many elderly voters that voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020 are dead now. Anecdotally, I knew someone who in 2016 wanted their vote for Trump to be one of the last things they did before they died (and it was).
I sincerely hope that Jimmy Carter lives long enough to fulfill his publicly stated wish to vote for Harris.
He’s just got a few months to go! Hang in there, Jimmy!
Perhaps the question was poorly worded. If you asked “Are you familiar with the term ‘couchf**ker’?” you’d be lucky to find 1% who never heard of Vance.
All they need to do in order to win over the Undecideds (and probably not a few Republicans) is to point out Lord Dampnut’s age & obvious … issues.
And then say:
“Imagine President Vance!”
Yes, just imagine it.
We need a puke emoji.
It’s probably not a good sign that he misstates the name of the doctor who gave him said cognitive test, and claims “and you get extra points if you get them in order” (nope, it’s often easier to memorise it that way, but the MoCA doesn’t score order).
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