I used a very crude analysis in the details of my post above to estimate the odds the TSA agent was behaving in a racist manner based on the evidence we have. To believe more evidence is necessary is to believe we don’t have enough evidence to rule out that this was a mere coincidence. But I don’t think you are actually thinking about what the odds of that are or what the threshold would be that would be sufficient evidence. I think if your own personal safety depended on your ability to determine who was an was not likely racist then you’d have a different calibration.
Overestimating the odds that something was not racist is a way to prop up racism.
