Biden’s not just 4th but a distant 4th. This makes me extremely happy.
Which should probably lead people to reconsider the credibility of the establishment pundits who’ve spent the last year touting Biden’s “electability”.
But it probably won’t.
Robert Reich is a nation treasure…literally.
- Apparently that’s a thing that exists.
- The analogy is uncanny.
Results from 71% of the precincts are in
You’re saying a white Midwesterner is doing slightly better in IOWA than an East Coast Jew? What’re the odds?
Both parties are still not the same, but the ways in which they are similar are telling. This is basic conflict of interest 101 stuff, even if it doesn’t rise to the full title of corruption.
With 71 percent of precincts reporting midday Wednesday, Buttigieg had about 419 state delegate equivalents to Sanders’ 394, according to the Iowa Democratic Party. Next in those early results was Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, with roughly 287 state delegate equivalents.
The Washington Post reported Tuesday when 62 percent of votes were counted that “Buttigieg’s tentative edge in state delegate equivalents is most likely a result of him faring better than Sanders in rural areas, where there are more delegates per caucusgoer.”
This phenomenon might sound familiar to anyone who remembers the 2016 presidential election: Hillary Clinton won millions more votes across the U.S. overall, but President Trump won a substantial majority in electoral college votes, which determine the actual winner.
https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article239989553.html
Warning: this graphic, from the WaPo, is based on a stupidly small number of precincts, since most precincts apparently didn’t keep close track of who went where for the second round:
If it generalizes, it says that Buttigieg is basically everyone’s second choice, except for Sanders supporters.
(Yes, Matthew’s is snark. No, Mellencamp’s is not).
Also this is his house, no snark even necessary.
(proof)
Helloooo, McMansion Hell.
There’s a reason I follow Kate on Twitter
Slightly better on the adjusted vote that gives more weight to land than voters - slightly worse on the actual unadjusted straight vote.
Yep - that sums up what’s wrong with the whole Iowa process.
We’re wasting time on minutiae of the process in a contest that should be over from a non representative state that has already gotten months and months of controlling the process and weeded out every candidate of color.
Goodbye Iowa - call us when you get your act together and maybe you can be 49th the next 50 years.
Fingers crossed that this debacle will finally knock Iowa off its ridiculously undeserved pedestal.
Which is a fantastic place to be in a transferable vote system with 8 contenders but a downright miserable place to be in a first-past-the-post winner-take-all system. Of course by having a good showing here (and even moreso because Biden had a bad one) Buttigieg gets a considerable boost in the hopes of succeeding in the winner-take-all contests to come. But I find it hard to think it will be a considerable-enough boost for now.
Oh, wow, this feels like it should be true, and I want it to be true (so now I distrust it). I love the implications for Democratic decision makers: stop trying to appeal to the swing voter, get out your base and pick a VP candidate who excites people.