2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine (Part 1)

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Lachlan Murdoch Reaction GIF by Murdoch Mysteries

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War starting to hit the worldwide supply chain even more:

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It’s not for nothing that war and famine have been colleagues since way back.

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War, famine, pestilence and death. Yes, it’s an old combo.

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That seems to be sort of the French "Hold my :wine_glass: " version of the “Technical”


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The presenter digs into the writings of Gogol to consider why Russians are predisposed, in a cultural sense, to believe Putin’s anti-Western propaganda.

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A video in eight parts including Introduction. Have pity on your sick child!

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So it comes full circle.

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:eyes:

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Yikes.
Julia Ioffe on what I hope is not going to happen: a surge of willing Russian enlistees who want in on this war.
AFAIK, she is seldom wrong.

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Another fire at a suspiciously strategic factory.

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For those with a paywall:
https://archive.ph/2022.04.23-040125/https://www.thedailybeast.com/russian-state-media-commentators-tell-60-minutes-senior-nato-officials-are-inside-azovstal-steel-plant

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Analysts said that Minnekayev’s statement could mean Russia would target the economy of Odesa and the surrounding region rather than launch an attack on the city. Russian forces had already been driven back in a Ukrainian counteroffensive last month and may be close to exhaustion.

“My interpretation of the recent statement by Minnekayev is that Russia intends to hold on to what they’ve taken in the south (largely assumed at this point), and try to pressure Ukraine over time on the economic front, including via blockade,” Michael Kofman, the research program director in the Russia studies programme at CNA, a research and analysis organisation based in Arlington, Virginia, wrote on Twitter.

“I am sceptical of any further major offensives beyond Donbas given losses and current force availability constraints,” he added.

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Reading that line

Possibly grinding entire systems to a stop in weeks, perhaps even days.

I wonder what became of the Russian aviation?

I read predictions that basically all Russian airlines would be out of service a month after the first sanctions targeting the aviation sector, mostly due to unavailability of spare parts and equipment for maintenance.

Anyone got a current take on the situation?

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