2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine (Part 1)

What about training? Are Ukrainian pilots trained on the MiG-29?

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They are. Its one of their primary fighters.

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To be fair, I suspect that Putin would say that saying he looks like Dobby is an act of war.

You know, in the same way that invading a sovereign nation with the stated intent of making it cease to exist is somehow not, and it’s now illegal to say it is.

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I get what you’re saying. But in truth if Ukrainian pilots use Polish airfields, they become a legitimate target. No doubt.

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If Russia attacked targets on Polish territory Poland would consider it an act of war. Then it would have to decide whether to invoke Article 5.

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They currently fly mig-29s and su-27s.

That’s kinda why the pool of available planes is so limited. Sending them anything else is apparently 6 months of training. Along with whole new parts, support systems and munitions.

You kinda have to send them the same aircraft they’re already running if you want them in the air right away.

And very few places besides Russia have any of these things in ready to fly shape.

Sure but that doesn’t mean you say “fuck it” and let things escalate freely or that the Poles are gonna be totally comfortable with those open, explicit threats to bomb their airfields if Ukrainian pilots take off from there.

And there’s a very big difference between the US half a world away, and Poland for whom the Russians “accidentally” dropping a few cluster bombs on the wrong side of the border is a much more present possibility.

Some of the threats are likely hollow, escalation is probably inevitable. But that doesn’t make it pointless to try and slow things down and limit them. Even the Ukrainians are saying that.

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I assume that the fighters would leave the Polish airfield without any ground-attack weapons, just air-to-air weapons for self-defense, and would immediately land on a Ukrainian airfield, from which they could operate against the Russians. Additional missiles and other weapons could be transported to Ukraine using Ukrainian cargo planes and/or ground transport.

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Well, yes. Because you can’t base anything on what you think Putin might say, because what he’s saying is completely divorced from reality, and everybody knows it. If anyone makes any action based on what he says, then they’re just dignifying his Doublespeak.

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But we can’t base it on the fact that they invaded a European country without justification or apparent ability to follow through?

No risk the guy who did something deeply unwise for ideological reasons won’t do it again?

They haven’t already “accidentally” sunk Turkish merchant ships? There weren’t multiple close calls and near escalations with US planes in Syria?

Not taking Putin at face value does not equate to there being no way for it to spill over or no action by the rest of the world that can do so.

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Thanks for explaining war, disease, and the media to me so succinctly.

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We can’t assume he won’t decide to try it on anyway, at this point. We can’t say he will do it, and we can’t say he won’t, for the same reason that if an alarm is broken, you can’t use it to tell whether the thing it’s checking is actually failing or not.

The West can’t base its actions on whether Putin says it would be an act of war, because he’s demonstrated that he considers being looked at sideways an act of war. What Putin says about another country’s actions cannot be taken as a basis for action, because he’s lying, gone fully fascist, and desperate.

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The former guy has a solution. I wish there was audio of this.

What a dumb ass, now if we do this they’ll know it wasn’t China.

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Or they would anyway, because I think Russian intelligence is probably smart enough to figure out that a bunch of American planes coming to and from American military bases might be American even if they have the wrong paint job and the pilots are radioing in with their attempt at Chinese accents.

Hell, by this logic you could just send stealth bombers and the Russians could only conclude they were being attacked by ghosts.

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Bread is getting expensive and circuses are not returning anytime soon. Have fun dealing with hundreds of thousands of bored, angry youth Vlad!

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There are “patriotic” alternatives.

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:man_facepalming:

So if they fire a tactical nuke we return five-fold?

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