2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine (Part 1)

Ukraine had been tipped off by members of Russia’s FSB.

What, the what???

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this episode.

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The promise of the Budapest Memorandum is
“4. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their commitment to seek immediate United Nations Security Council action to provide assistance to Ukraine, as a non-nuclear-weapon State party to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, if Ukraine should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used;”

ETA emphasis – mine

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Guessing oligarchs won’t have any problems.

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Budapest Memo … has some promises… in it.

The promise of the Budapest Memorandum is

That is moot now. Russia has been saying since the beginning that it doesn’t apply anymore since Ukraine is the aggressor; it doesn’t matter if we know is bullcrap, is what they are going to use to justify their non-adherence to the treaty.

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It was already moot, since no nuclear weapons have been used (AFAIK and yet).

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if Ukraine should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used

Nuclear weapons do not need to be involved. The summary of the pact was “we don’t trust you with the nukes that URSS left you but we promise not to invade you -and will do whatever is reasonable to prevent you from being invaded- if you return them to Russia”.

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The problem here is the lack of parentheses.

Ist it

if Ukraine should become (a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression) in which nuclear weapons are used

or

if Ukraine should become (a victim of an act of aggression) or (an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used)

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that only works if almost everybody adopts “avoiding war” as their only moral value—and yet it does so by ceding power to the one guy who disagrees, whoever that is

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Regarding this, the offer of $40,000 by Kiev and the alleged $104 compensation by Russia for the parents of dead soldiers: Perhaps we should consider that herein the West, too.

Allow Russian soldiers to surrender and settle outside Russia.

Though I guess there was less danger of the US government punishing their families at home.

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From the Guardian liveblog:

Four more people were killed and nine wounded as a barrage of Russian air and rocket strikes pounded the northeastern Ukrainian city of Kharkiv on Wednesday morning, the local emergency services and Mayor Ihor Terekhov said.

In an online video, the Reuters news agency report him as saying:

Kharkiv is a Russian-speaking city. Every fourth person in Kharkiv has relatives in the Russian Federation. But the city’s attitude to Russia today is completely different to what it ever was before.

We never expected this could happen: total destruction, annihilation, genocide against the Ukrainian people - this is unforgivable.

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Basically how the Ukrainians have been reacting to the miles long tank convoy:

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Does Russia have checks on the nuclear button, such as needing two people with keys to sign off on it? Asking for a friend…

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Wow, that’s bold. Not going according to plan at all.

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By attacking unarmed loudmouths from behind and stealing their car?

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