2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine (Part 2)

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archive.ph

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Putin trying to freak people out about (((globalists))) trying to starve the world to distract from his own culpability. It’s the usual spread pattern with Russian disinfo in the U.S.: poorly moderated social media for younger people, Tucker Carlson on Faux for the olds.

[archive]

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Is that like when they say that Russia’s greatest defender is General Winter?

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Russians attack another nuke plant.

This is fine.

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“Just joking” has become the war cry of depraved fascists everywhere.

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This is not really about the war, but about the energy impacts of it. But this extract is germane.

…we believe that Putin would not have moved into Ukraine had natural gas not already been a crisis. This is the part people forget. The price of natural gas skyrocketed in December in Europe, long before he moved into Ukraine. He likely did the calculation and realized, They don’t have enough molecules. They’re surely going to come to the table and give me what I want in Ukraine. He moved into Ukraine. He was incorrect — they didn’t come to the table. And here they are, weaker than they were if they had. And so he miscalculated Europe’s response. And I think he overestimated the long-term impact of his play. In the medium-to-long term, we think his invasion of Ukraine is a catastrophe for him and for Russia, but in the near term, winter 2022–23 …

Worth reading the whole thing.

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Junk food prevails.

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I disagree. Strong opinions, but lacking substantially in the fact department.

I stopped reading around “Insane. The world cannot live without ita energy”.

The whole thing is a litany of stuff which needs to be debunked, for which I don’t have the time. Needs a sign: BEWARE! Energy leeches.

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This will obviously be less relevant for short-term propaganda purposes; but does anyone know what the numbers are in terms of ‘food that remains viable but isn’t being shipped because of war’ vs. ‘food that was either not planted or not harvested, degraded or destroyed in storage, or otherwise wouldn’t be there even if we declared world peace tomorrow’?

That answer seems like it could be of great interest to, and of great influence over, the various weakly aligned leaders looking to avoid hungry populist uprisings and/or refugee swarms: if the food is mostly in decent shape but bulk transport is presently impossible that’s going to make a quick resolution, damn the terms, look awfully tempting. If, however, the invasion has already destroyed it in one way or another, and (especially with winter on its way) there will be a period of scarcity that runs until(best case) the next planting is ready for harvest; then you have less incentive to choose the quickest possible solution since absolutely nothing you do will save you in the immediate term; but there are more and less desirable medium and long terms.

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Not really surprised about the Linke. Half are tankies, the other half are hardcore socialists who hate the capitalist Putin.

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In other words, if a Russian quisling is bragging about the high concentration, chances suddenly are that the presence of Russian troops is actually a vacuum as they are either being rushed to the front or have already skedaddled.

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Serhiy Haidi is the Ukrainian government’s governor of Luhansk Oblast. He is not bragging about imaginary Russian soldiers; he is warning about real ones.

A “Russian quisling” would never “warn” that “liberation” by Ukraine will be difficult. When Russian puppets talk about “liberation”, they mean bringing territory under Russian control.

Meanwhile:

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