FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver predicts who will be president but says not to trust his prediction

Polls are about as accurate as a magic 8 ball. It’s a snap shot of a point in time, of usually, no more than a few thousand individuals who just happened to be home at the right time when a pollster calls them.

For Harris to win, we all have to go do our bit and stop pretending like some white dude of privilege who once believed he had conquered a game of chance is able to predict the future. He can’t. He can tell us what a few people are thinking at any one given time… and I’m not convinced the modern day polling isn’t being actively skewed by malicious actors, too.

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None that I know, and only one or two here on the BBS. Most of us acknowledge it’s going to be a nail-biting photo finish, and despite that acknowledgment none of us are asking millions of readers to instead trust our gut feeling on who the winner will be.

Like Silver’s boss, Peter Thiel.

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So basically he is the Jean Dixon of election polling predictions.
Usually wrong, seldom fact checked and revises his predictions after the fact.

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That automatically makes anything he says entirely suspect.

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Peter Thiel, the guy who made JD Vance.

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See Jon Ossoff GIF by Election 2020

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