I hope he realizes that there is a difference between a Social Darwinist and a Social Nihilist.
I can’t believe that the Crown Casino in Melbourne isn’t closing. The place is basically packed with elderly, sedentary people, touching the same screens and using the same bathrooms. A lot of their business is done with international visitors.
For the marathon, I think it is more dangerous than a more sedentary activity. People deep cycle their lungs, making them more likely to be infectious, and to catch a new infection.
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Again (2nd time this week) I cannot find the original article but I read in the past week that apparently Classic Dom does have a known interest in epidemiology. I start to fear some of the other things he has an interest in, if this is the outcome.
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60% I think.
You’ll probably not be bothered by the virus sometime before 
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100% bal. Guaranteed not to get it.
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They don’t like it up 'em!
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My next race is still going ahead but it is a trail run with under 500 people. There will be no on-the-day registration and people will set off individually along the trail.
So that one I feel has very little risk of inflection.
My race after that in May has 1000+ runners - I suspect that one will be getting postponed as logistically it is too difficult to keep people separate.
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It’s just unthinkable that people could not go to the pub or starbucks or out clubbing or the theatre for any length of time? I think people can actually survive quite well without that. The logic of non-essential shutdown is to reverse the exponential growth, and it works, as China is demonstrating.
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It might sound like a small sacrifice to you, but it likely feels different to the large numbers of people who (used to) work in the hospitality industry. And we’re talking about restrictions that could put construction, retail and manufacturing in the same boat.
I don’t think people who can work from home (e.g. every journalist) are close to grasping the scale of what we’re talking about here.
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For the love of all that is good and holy stay away from crowded boats.
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You have to squint really hard to see it, though.
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So Coventry City scored twice, but how many goals did SARS score?
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There’s a half-marathon scheduled in my town as well. We’ll see if it goes ahead…
I Spain the virus spread like fire in just 10 days, from the first cases in Madrid to the rest of the country and it is now starting to emerge that a number of reasons contributed to this
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The authorities were slow to take measures and decided to apply them gradually without a comprehensive mid to long term plan. They looked at what happened in italy and did nothing
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The Women’s day demonstrations went ahead as planned, with the government encouraging participation, even after the WHO recommendation to curb big gatherings of people. Now we know at least 3 ministers that took part in the demonstration have contracted the virus
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The first measures from the government were to close schools and universities, so many students just went home to their parent’s, spreading the disease all over the country
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When they started considering confinement, the decision took several days of discussion and many people decided to travel to the coast, to the second home or even to hotels, many cities in the coast reported an “invasion” of people from madrid, some of them had been tested positive and told to self-isolate but decided not to
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When the lock down started, it was too late, the virus had reached all the country
The lessons to learn from this are that if you are going to take measures, you have to take all of them at the same time and enforce them from day 1
A small percentage of the population will refuse to follow any instructions, either because they dislike the government, they follow the latest conspiracy theory, they think rules should not apply to them or simply believe they will not be affected.
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I’m not worried about the health of (most) of the runners. They’ll be fine, maybe some sniffles if they get infected. I’m worried about everyone else they might infect while they walk around being asymptomatic carriers. And everyone those people infect. Etc.
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I still haven’t figured out why I must stay INDOORS and alone. I am taking this very seriously, being over 60 with an underlying health condition, BUT…
Am I really at risk if I go into my attached garage, get in my car that no one else uses, drive to a park, and hang out outdoors alone? My town has large parks with big enough parking areas that my car can be isolated, too. And if a friend in similar circumstances meets me there for a chat held 8 feet apart, does that increase the risk?
We don’t all live in SF or NYC.
I really do want to understand.
Probably not much risk, although apparently virus-contaminated droplets can remain suspended in the air for a couple hours, so you could bump into some of those while you’re out. (Unless I’ve misunderstood something I read.) And you’d have to be careful about surfaces you touch.
For your visiting friend, 8 feet is a pretty good distance, but if they’re infected and the wind blows the wrong way, it might not be enough.
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This isn’t going to over in a few weeks. If we are very lucky, it might only be three months.
I think it’s important to reach some kind of balance between risks to your physical health and the risks to your mental health.
I think your idea of going to a park and meeting your friend is a sensible one.
(I’m not a doctor, just a pragmatist)
EDIT - I’ve started wearing a filter mask and vinyl gloves when I go shopping. I think if you wore a filter mask to meet your friend in a park at a distance of 8 feet your risk of infection would be approximately zero.
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