Most Republican voters were Trumpists before Trump, and most of the rest have converted since 2016

Last time, he won because he leveraged xenophobia against Obama and new Americans, misogyny against Clinton, a nihilistic “anything’s better than this” attitude, the willingness of republicans to vote for their candidate no matter what, and rounded it off with a knack at getting as much news coverage as possible by saying controversial things.

He wins again by doing exactly the same things.
The media still give him a free megaphone whenever he wants.Republican voters are still behind him because they got their supreme court picks, and fox news says so. All that needs to happen now is for the Democrats to oblige him by nominating another “safe” centrist neoliberal who will has pre-emptively given up on giving people anything to hope for.- who won’t inspire legions of activists , who won’t give non-voters the belief that change is possible, and who won’t offer anything other than “not being Trump”. If they really want to help him, they’ll finish it off by adopting a veneer of performative wokeness, that will enable the tiny fingered orange to play the entire campaign on his own turf of embittered exclusionary white identity.

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