This headline. It hurts me.
From the first sentence of the piece, emphasis mine:
Finland is past the peak of the first wave of coronavirus infections
Just FTR, because it very much fits: Christian Drosten related in the interview-podcast that he is very much expecting the epidemic to change it’s tune. In the beginning - and we are still very much at the beginning, not only in Germany - highly localised clusters occur. Afterwards, a diffusion process sets in, also under the cover of the current sometimes harsh (see: Spain!) measures which ‘mask’ the diffusion process. He is quite certain that widely spread background-level infections are occurring, and compared that really to a physical diffusion process. He expanded on ‘masking’ by current measures explaining that we don’t see the result as such because social distancing is working: while we have a relatively small R0, we would have no strong indication if the diffusion process already took place and localised clusters are no longer the currently prevalent form of the epidemic.
However, when the social distancing stops…
I understood that he thus argued that a way forward would be slowly reducing measures and re-instating them (sometimes also introducing stronger measures) - based on the level of detectable background infections happening.
That’s what Pueyo called “hammer and dance”, I think.
(Sidenote: Drosten is also fond of the idea of BT contact tracing apps, which I currently under the impression cannot work because physics and phones. See the other topic.)
