Ongoing coronavirus happenings

10 Likes

Why yes, China should crack down on things that would keep people inside during a pandemic :frowning:

6 Likes
16 Likes
10 Likes

Interesting graph, using the number of days since the 20th death as x axis. If you plot this just by time, you easily may come to a different conclusion:

image
Please note that I just added data from March 2020 onwards, and added China and South Korea as an afterthought because they were in the New Scientist’s graph. Makes no sense.
Was interested in this comparison:


[For the record, my plot is ECDC data, not Johns Hopkins University data.]

3 Likes

41 Likes
14 Likes

Your plot seems to assert that China has less than 1000 cumulative deaths

2 Likes

Good grief, that’s an artifact because I filtered the data for this from 1st of March 2020 onwards. I didn’t have China and South Korea in, just added them unthinkingly after I just saw the New Scientist graph.

ETA: midnight approaching here, I’ll just add a second graph without CN and KR up there after your post. My point was: comparing Italy and Spain while using the x-axis as NewSci does gives you a good idea how fast the Situation in Spain really got terribly worse. When I plot just by absolute time, you get a different view on the situation.

3 Likes

“Days since Nth death” is a common way to plot logarithmic graphs because then they can show doubling lines from the origin

I don’t know why New Scientist used it for that linear graph, but it’s simple and it was updated today

8 Likes

Also note that reported deaths from Spain are underestimated. There are an anomalous number of unexplained deaths, and there are many suspected covid deaths that are not added to the official tally because they can’t get tests.

5 Likes

I read several pieces on that, from different media (and not written/informed by epidemiologists? I might be wrong on that!). I was quite confused after that, because I always lost track if they were talking about excess mortality or actual deaths caused by Covid-19. And I decided it didn’t matter. Either way, Spain (as Italy) really needs help from other EU countries. Even if it is not underestimated, the numbers are truly harrowing.

A friend of mine just came back from Bilbao to be with her partner.
Their family, parents and grandparents, is still there.

3 Likes

I have an elderly uncle living in Spain. It’s not a good situation. Until pretty recently, I thought he’d probably be better off weathering the storm there than coming back to the US, but it looks like that’s probably not the case.

6 Likes

I can only thank God that my kids are grown and we don’t have to face decisions like this.

Also love her gutsy slam on keyboard warriors criticizing her.

28 Likes

Fucking idiot.

30 Likes

Interesting list of titles he seems to find equivalent though.

21 Likes

How many times did he say “It’s voluntary, you don’t have to do it. I won’t be doing it. It’s voluntary.”

23 Likes
8 Likes

A reminder that Trump is not the problem. Trump is not the disease, merely a symptom, a particularly painful syphilitic boil on the sphincter perhaps, but just a symptom of Republican rule.

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/how-tea-party-budget-battles-left-the-national-emergency-medical-stockpile-unprepared-for-coronavirus

“We recognized the need for replenishment of the stockpile and budgeted about a 10% increase,” said Dr. Nicole Lurie, who served as the assistant secretary for preparedness and response at the Department of Health and Human Services during the Obama administration. “That was rejected by the Republican House.”

22 Likes

I would say it is broader than simply being Republican rule, as there are systemic issues that allowed us to get to where we are. Much better convo for another thread though.

5 Likes