I have to question a 20% mortality rate estimate. That is far beyond any current numbers. The authors are correct that our dataset is woefully incomplete and it will probably be years before actual, hard data is finalized. If that is true, though, this will make 1918 look like a sniffle. Just nothing to support that at this point in time.
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It was only a few weeks ago that they were being dragged over hot coals for hiring an open eugenicist
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Agreed. I have lots of hopeful problems with the estimate but as a non epidemiologist, I am curious about the validity of the approach.
I have seen it, and read the article. Exactly what I am talking about outstripping capacity. The mortality rate skyrockets when survivable patients cannot access the level of care required. No one should die of dehydration for lack of IV bags, or hypoxia for lack of O2 tanks, before we even talk about ventilators. And yet here we are.
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Any port in a storm? Lack of PEEP increases the problems associated with surfactant depletion which is typical of ARDS which seems to be the major killer here, but if that was all I had, I would use it. Outcome less good, but not 100% mortality which it will be if you need a ventilator and don’t get one. Also you can “fake” PEEP with a PEEP valve from an ambu bag, at least for a while.
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Deadly!
Thanks
Umm… Deadly means really good in Dublin
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Link’s busted. It would really help me out if you summarize what it is you want me to see. I can’t follow all the links and articles being thrown my way right now.
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Social Darwinism? try Municipal Darwinism
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Not an epidemiologist, just a country pediatrician. We have a couple of epidemiologists in the community, but I haven’t seen them poke their noses in here. I suspect they are just a little busy right now!
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No, you can’t stop it. True. But instead you do things like this:
True rock and roll isn’t just about defying authority, it’s about creatively getting around the obstacles meant to stop it.
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And appropriate here! (But good, i did not know that!)
Incidently, if you are thinking of home brewing this thing, you need an oxygen supply, a way to monitor it, and a way to humidify it, as well as controllably moving air in and out. Bad things occur otherwise!
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My wife’s a pediatrician out here. What with the cases here, her practice has been busy and they’re anticipating a busy week with our school closures.
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I fixed the link in the post. It’s a short, clever video.
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^^ THIS.
Testing. Is. Crucial.
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Thats the idea exactly. Why is this such a hard concept to grasp?
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I was thinking exhaustion might be a contributing factor.
Which is also scary in the weeks (months?) to come. You’ll (medical providers) be exhausted, short-handed and thus more prone to make mistakes on even non COVID-19 cases. Overwhelmed applies to more than just space, supplies and physical bodies. Too many of us non-medical people forget the psychological factors as well.
to you and for all that you are doing.
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Hey, those two people are not sitting at least six feet apart!
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