I think that’s a really good question.
No laws get 100% compliance, but I can see how this one might have a specific group of resisters who look for ways to intentionally go uninsured.
I think there would be something of a PR battle that would ultimately take a generation to win. Kids growing up with the common sense idea that if you have a gun you need insurance to protect society from accidents (just like car insurance), are going to come to the conclusion that the resistance against the idea is composed of entitled idiots. There will always be a few cranks, but it will become socially unacceptable to be one of those cranks.
We still have people who think it’s fine for them to drink and drive because they can hold their liquor or because they are great drivers. But drunk driving has been greatly reduced because we don’t see irresponsible driving as acceptable. America still sees irresponsible gun ownership as acceptable.
You got me. It’s not the distribution I thought. Family is only about 13% (although it’s probably more since a full 44% have unknown relationships).
However, here is the part that confirms my basic point even my perception that family members are usually killers is the result of watching too many cop shows:
Of the murders for which the circumstance surrounding the murder was known, 42.9 percent of victims were murdered during arguments (including romantic triangles) in 2011. Felony circumstances (rape, robbery, burglary, etc.) accounted for 23.1 percent of murders. Circumstances were unknown for 38.0 percent of reported homicides.
42.9% of murders where cause was known were the result of escalated arguments while only 23.1% were the result of non-murder felonies. By contrast, about 0% of robberies are the result of escalated arguments and 100% were the result of non-murder felonies. Obviously being facetious there, but the point I’m making is that robberies aren’t heat-of-the-moment crimes and so there isn’t a reason to think that easy access to a weapon would turn a non-robbery situation into a robbery situation.
Murders are very much heat-of-the-moment crimes, at least about 42.9% of them are. I would have overestimated this, but it’s still a really sizable chunk where the lethality of the situation is tied to the ability to make a split second decision to kill. Using another stat from the same sheet (Handguns comprised 72.5 percent of the firearms used in murder and nonnegligent manslaughter incidents in 2011), if that category of murder is as sensitive to the presence of guns as suicide is, then you could reduce murders by about 24% by taking arguments away from situations where guns are at the ready (I doubt it is as sensitive as suicide to the presence of guns, so that’s more like an upper bound, but I feel like it’d be a stretch to guess it’s near 0%).