Evidence without statistics is really just guessing. Statistics is hard because it’s difficult to determine exactly how much information is needed to be confident in action. Avoiding that doesn’t reduce the problem at hand. There’s a reason why evidence-based medicine is such a big deal. To be fair, getting individualized care even based on the existing evidence is hard enough, these days.
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It’s also really really easy to do statistics wrong.
A stats prof at uni would say to us “When I ‘dumb down’ a problem into bags of coloured marbles, it’s not to help you understand it. It’s to help me understand it. This is slippery stuff.”
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