I was curious after reading this thread about what the statistics actually show, since they are used by people on both sides of the argument to say different things.
If you look at charts of general murder rate in the UK, the US, and Australia, after strict gun control was enacted the murder rate increased in the UK but did indeed decrease in Australia. But the decrease in Australia coincides with a very similar decrease in the US. If anything, the decrease in the US - coinciding with no meaningful change in law or policy - is actually greater.
This suggests that looking at these statistics is essentially meaningless. There are clearly myriad other factors (social, economic, political) affecting the murder rate, and as Maggie’s recent article on the research surrounding gun control points out, nobody is really doing the complicated analyses that would be required to suss out anything meaningful.
It’s obviously very alluring to people on all sides of the issue to use these statistics, since everybody does it and because depending on how you construct your graph you can make it say basically anything you want (try a google image search for “uk murder rate” or “australia murder rate” to see what I mean).
Ultimately I do think most people end up realizing that (perhaps subconsciously), and so the debate isn’t really about murder rates unless your intention in the debate is to distract (since the data can most easily be used to suggest that restricting guns has little to no effect on murder rate), as some in this thread seem to be doing (I’m not referring to you, Mister44, despite the fact that I’m replying to you - you’ve always been a voice of reason on the pro-gun side in these debates on boingboing).
So, those in favor of stricter gun control frame the debate around the idea that guns enable crime, and enable psychopaths (and whoever) to kill or harm more people than they otherwise would be able to. This makes intuitive sense, but is not something you can easily look at from statistics.
The murder rate in the UK went up post-gun-control, but the #1 murder tool by a huge margin is knives (and predictably, there has been increased regulation on carrying knives as a result). In the US, murder rate by knife has actually dropped significantly in the same period but is basically irrelevant since it is utterly dwarfed by the gun murder rate.
So the question is, without easy access to guns in the US, would the knife murder rate be anywhere near as high as the gun rate? For most people killing someone with a gun is going to be vastly easier than killing someone with a knife. You can debate that, but actually this is something used by gun advocates in the US - the “leveling the playing field” argument admits flat out that it’s easier to kill with a gun than with anything else.
So does easy access to guns (no matter where they come from, legal or otherwise) enable gun violence? Guns are obviously an enabler of violence - basic history bears this out inarguably. But is that relevant to this point?Places with both easy access to guns and lacking strict regulation of them and/or their use have more gun violence - the places with the most gun violence are countries in the MIddle East and Africa and countries with drug trafficking issues (e.g. Mexico and some South American countries, and SE Asia). Then there’s the US right up there.
And then there’s Switzerland, a place gun advocates like to use in their favor. Gun ownership is very high, because the government gives them to everyone (and trains them). The overall murder rate is extremely low (which gun advocates point out), but that’s clearly due to other factors - like high wealth, relatively evenly distributed, and strong social safety nets etc. I can say “clearly” because the rate of gun murders in Switzerland as a percentage of overall murders is higher than in any other developed countries besides Canada and the US.
In other words, regardless of the overall murder rate, the easy availability of guns and relatively lax regulation translates directly to more gun violence. And as is fairly inarguable, even by gun advocates as I noted, guns are easier to make violence with than anything else. Murders and violence will always exist, because there are lots of reasons for it stemming from human/animal nature. Easy access to guns means making murder easier.
So:
Pretty much every thing I have seen suggest is just going to further limit law abiding people, and at best, minorly inconvenience criminals. A person doing straw purchases now is probably still going to be able to jump through any additional hoop.
True. So part of the problem, then, is the law-abiding people. They care more about being able to easily own guns than what the effect of the laws that make that easy for them have on the rest of society, because to truly reduce gun violence means taking away guns. Criminals will still have them but it will be much more expensive and harder to get them, so there will be less of them.
We’re not going to become a Switzerland-like utopia anytime soon (because of many of the same people who oppose gun control, of course), where this isn’t a big issue because the murder rate is 1/10 what it is in the US to begin with. Poverty isn’t going away, and the obviously-stupid war on drugs isn’t even going away. Most of the social and other factors that lead to murder in the first place aren’t going away anytime soon in the US.
So why are we enabling the violence that stems from those factors by allowing such easy access to guns?
Because law-abiding citizens don’t want to give them up.
It’s not that I can’t sympathise, or that I trust the government. I get it. And I get the rugged individualist thing, and the romance of the wild west. But the world has moved on and I would like to move on with it. This applies not only to guns, but to socialized health care and all the other things that every other developed country has that the US doesn’t.
I realize that my comment basically reads as “take away all the guns”. Well, you know… that is the only easy solution to gun violence!
If gun rights advocates would like to help us build a more utopian/egalitarian society instead, that would be great, but socialism is evil to them so we’re stuck. I’m certainly unfairly grouping people together here, but open-carry assholes and many, many other gun rights advocates and sympathetic conservatives are the ones who are making “take away all the guns” look more and more like the only solution.