I’ll cut right to the TL:DR- No matter who wins, everybody panic, because we’re all going to die.
So, here’s the thing that worries me about the upcoming election: In EVERY possible outcome, I see a major disaster. Everybody I talk to seems focused on the sole goal of defeating Trump- It’s not that that isn’t extremely important, it’s that it is the only answer I ever get to any kind of question.
Historically, I can’t think of a single horrific event that didn’t start with telling the critics “yes, yes, but RIGHT NOW…” I’m not in any way saying that Trump would be any kind of good thing- I’m asking if people have given serious thought to what happens next.
There are fundamentally three things that scare me:
Both parties are on the verge of schism or collapse, the country is insanely polarized, and both major candidates are complete lighting rods for every ounce of the opposition’s hate. Meanwhile, Bernie supporters are rightfully ready to abandon the Democrats for getting screwed in the primaries; while actual conservatives are abandoning the Republicans over Trump.
If Trump wins, I think he will effectively destroy the GOP completely.
If Clinton wins, I think the DNC will be severely weakened at a time when the GOP is most able to whip it’s base into action.
I honestly feel like whichever party loses this election will be able to leverage their rage against the other side’s disillusionment and sweep the following midterms.
This brings us to #2:
#2: Trump is not the biggest threat.
Don’t get me wrong- He’s a walking talking nuclear strike. But the worst case scenario? No. It’s the Republicans getting enough power to rewrite the Constitution at will. It doesn’t matter who sits on the Supreme Court if the document they’re defaulting to literally says “No abortion, no gay marriages”.
Do you actually realize how close they are?
6 State legislatures.
The GOP currently controls 31 state legislatures. They need 37 to ratify a constitutional amendment. They control Trifectas (governor, house, senate) in 23 states. In Iowa, they only need 2 seats. In Kentucky, it’s 4. 9 in Maine, 6 in New Mexico.
If they only pick up IA and KY- 6 people- They have enough of a majority to call a constitutional convention.
I am terrified that a Clinton White House win will rally enough red states to control that magic 3/4 of state legislatures that will let them ratify an amendment.
How likely is it that we could lose the war by winning the battle, or vice versa? Again, I’m not advocating one position or the other, I’m asking if anyone has thought this stuff through beyond the next 2 months. Is it worth 2 years of Trump to virtually destroy the GOP? Is it worth letting them repeal the First Amendment if it stops him?
I’m freaking out because neither option seems worth the risk.
And just because there’s always room to make things worse…
#3: Climate change is a ticking time bomb. So is the economy.
I don’t trust anyone running to actually address these things in a meaningful way. By meaningful, I mean something that will have a measurable effect in not just slowing, but reversing the trends that are pointing towards an inevitable collapse.
Yes, Trump and Johnson would do nothing. Clinton would probably push higher fuel economy, maybe some subsidies for renewable energy, enhanced cap & trade.
All of which, quite frankly, are as good as doing nothing. We need a complete end to fossil fuels, and it has to happen 20 years ago. Not tomorrow. Not 8 years from now. Sometime around 1995.
I mean, for fuck’s sake, the oceans are dying. If they go, we all go with them. We’re literally headed towards an extinction level event, and the best we can do is make a few token gestures at reducing our pollution output to a slightly less catastrophic amount.
And the truly awful thing is, that this 4-8 years of inaction and just waiting for the biosphere to collapse, is our best case scenario.
I mean, sure- We’ll all be dead or living in some post-apocalyptic hellscape, but at least we stopped Trump, had a woman president, and were briefly able to buy a rainbow wedding cake before the food riots kicked in.
Oh, and there’s also the thing that even our best case scenario, Clinton winning and against all odds actually taking on Wall Street and the oil companies, normalizes the idea that having one family in power for multiple administrations is an okay thing. Maybe Jeb can run again in '24. Chelsea should be primed and ready to take over in '28, when we formally discard elections in favor of a back-and-forth system between the royal houses.
And that’s our best case.
Jesus. I need a hug.