The shits keep coming.
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Melania
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oh so useful tonight
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I refuse to contribute to their ratings. I’ll follow the coverage after.
Besides - I can’t afford to buy a new tv everyday. Can’t guarantee that I wouldn’t pull an Elvis.
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I know it’s totally unhealthy to fixate on polls or projections but I’m freaking out hard on Fivethirtyeight’s latest update. Currently less than a 70% chance of getting Trump out of office?!!
Also, I understand why everyone is fixated on the presidency (obviously I’m guilty of that too) but there’s been very little coverage on the state of the Senate races to date. If I had to choose either gaining the presidency but not control of the senate, or winning a majority (supermajority?) of the senate but losing the presidency, I’d seriously consider going with the senate. Among other things, that would allow us to impeach the MF and also veto Supreme Court nominations from his successor, as well as potentially pass certain laws with veto-proof majorities.
I don’t know if I’m allowed to link directly to fundraising political groups but one organization you might want to check out is Get Mitch or Die Trying. I like their logo of an upside-down turtle shell.
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Do - they think Biden is twice as likely to win as Trump?
Keep fighting- but don’t give into despair- be energized to kick Trump to the street.
I mean - ain’t no way Trump wouldn’t take Biden’s numbers here.
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Why aren’t more people upset that the Trump campaign blackmailed Jerry Falwell Jr. to get his endorsement instead of Ted Cruz in 2016? Why isn’t Cruz screaming bloody murder right now?
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Apparently Trump just used a naturalization ceremony at the RNC to prove he’s not the xenophobic bigot he clearly is, but nobody ever bothered to let the immigrants involved know they were going to be used as political props.
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Moscow Mitch has less than an average 30% approval rating here in Kentucky. That said…
The odds of him losing are probably about 30%. Most of Kentucky would vote for Satan before they voted for a Democrat.
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is there any way to turn that around? like seriously? How ingrained is the racism and hatred that white republicans feed on? How can we ever defeat prejudice that is so deep on every level, systematically at a government level to cultural shit mommys and daddys teach their kids? There was a time in the early 20th century where rural white farmers actually thought it was a good thing for government to help even the playing field. But the field is so toxic now. its like gasoline has been poured on the lawn of rural america and we’re trying to hope some grass will grow anyway.
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The surprising part is how recently these things changed. I am from Eastern Kentucky. My grandmother was a very conservative person in terms of moral values, but I never knew her to ever vote for a Republican. She survived the Depression, and was viscerally aware of how social programs and unions had saved the lives of people there.
Over the years, though, the region declined steeply. The blame rests on the same factors that caused the decline of the Rust Belt, along with pretty egregious political corruption. After a few decades, the social services that had been seen as saviors came to be seen as traps that rewarded people for not working, in a place with basically no jobs anyway.
The Reaganomics shift, as it were. The corruption that made the region unlivable gets blamed on “nanny government” and socialist ideals. Add to that the liberal ideals that became the norm in the Democratic party, the civil rights movement, abortion, etc., etc., and you end up with a region with basically nothing whatsoever in common with Democratic party ideals.
It’s tough, but there is no solution that I can see. If we see this country as having a representative government (har har), nothing about the Democrats really represents the majority of voters in places like this. The only solution is the re-aligning of the people to the Democratic Party, or the Party to the people.
I am afraid at this point, the people aren’t being so moved, so I expect a continued shift to the Right for the Democratic Party.
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Yeah, it’s scary but it’s a realistic forecast. What it really means is that there’s a lot of unknowns - there’s still some time until the election, strange unprecedented bullshit is happening every day, and local polling as shown in 2016 is capable of systematic errors. Unfortunately if you are looking for reassurance you probably won’t get much of that from polling this election - what you’ll see is that there’s a real fight, every vote matters, and no one should be even slightly complacent. It doesn’t mean the final vote count will necessarily be actually close - it just means that the situation is unpredictable.
Nate Silver pretty much does the best poll modelling in the business.
Mimes don't scream.
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What about shifting them away from supporting the current administration instead? In some states voters staying home would help Democrats tip the scales, and it sounds like they are targeting corruption in ads:
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I hit a paywall with that link.
He has something under a 30% approval rating, but actually a lot of the discontent has come from Mitch not being helpful enough to TRUMP… if such a thing can be believed. Yes, I am saying that many don’t like Mitch because he isn’t far enough to the right.
I guess it is possible some of those people might stay home, but honestly, I don’t see that happening. They see a Democrat winning as if it were the apocalypse.
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Well, you know, Democrats are destroying America, so.
/s
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