Continuing coronavirus happenings (Part 2)

An extraordinary bulletin from the Covid Observatory19 of the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation points out that this is the biggest health and hospital crisis in the history of Brazil.

The infographic shows the beds occupied in the ICU by state. Some places are on the verge of collapse, as several people are waiting for a bed.

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Not that a :heart: seems appropriate for that. . . :grimacing: :frowning_face:

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You are right. Thank you.

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This is so terrible.

I have an old friend who actually married a Brasilian last year to enable them to be together, in Berlin, to get out of the country. Another Brasilian already living in Bavarian, their partner a Greek, will possibly also consider this.
A colleague who arrived with the whole family, mother a German, father a Brasilian, two kids, just around April last year.

They stare at their former home country and despair.
I feel their pain.

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That is truly horrifying. Damn, stay safe!!

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Really shows how bad it got, that getting back down to “only” 1,000 USAian deaths per day seems like good news at this point. :cry:

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The situation is grim here. We are in the newspapers of the World but for an horrible reason.

I wish your friends are well.

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So, except for some very few lucky places, the vaccination campaign in the world is pacing like an old car in a muddy road?

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Meanwhile, here, the diagnosis of the week is “sore throat, fever and Spring Break.” Damn it, have they learned nothing??

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I think we’ve finally hit upon that elusive trait that separates humanity from all other animals.

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Man, if I thought it would hurt them more that it would, in the long term, hurt the rest of us, I’d just keep my mouth shut.

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Most versions of thelocal can be read using the ‘reader view’ browser extension.

I have a friend who teaches high school in Norway, they went back to teaching in person recently and she was delighted to do so. I haven’t had a chance to ask her more about this, but even with the extra classroom social distancing (she teaches in two adjacent rooms simultaneously) that still seems dangerous to me.

I’ll be reaching live in the fall, but will have been vaccinated by then.

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For instance, one of the authors’ analyses—which accounted for levels of community spread and school district demographics—found that the rate of coronavirus cases in students attending schools with 6-feet policies was 21 percent lower than that of schools with 3-feet policies. But that estimate was considered not significant and had a notably large confidence interval (which provides the range of plausible estimates based on the raw data). The confidence interval for that 21 percent estimate ranged from -47 percent to 18 percent. That means that the 6 feet of distancing could have decreased case rates as much as 47 percent compared with 3 feet—which most parents and school staff would probably consider significant. But confusingly, 6 feet of distance could have also increased case rates by as much as 18 percent.

The study wasn’t able to include contact-tracing data, so although the counted cases were among staff and students who recently attended in-person school, there’s no way to know how many of their infections happened while they were at school. Also, children tend to have asymptomatic or mild infections, and it’s not clear how many infections in students may have been missed. Notably, case rates in school staff closely tracked with case rates in the community, while student case rates tended to be much lower than both.

To me this all comes down to being a smart consumer of information: the studies are all preliminary and problematic. You can’t trust the conclusions (that’s really on the scientists, who I think really should be in trouble for making them in this case). So the studies might suggest something, and now you have to decide what the ramifications are if you put them into policy: what if they are right and what they are if they are wrong? If they are right you can pack more kids into schools without increasing transmission amongst the students and staff, although either way, you might be increasing transmission in the community. If they are wrong, you are increasing the spread of the virus at a point where, in the US at least, we are so very near significant vaccination milestones (and crucially, expect to be at a huge milestone before the next semester).

The study immediately made waves. In an interview this past Sunday, CNN anchor Jake Tapper asked top infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci, “Does this study suggest to you that 3 feet is good enough?”

Fauci responded, “It does indeed.”

But a closer look at the actual data in the study provides a much murkier answer.

I want to like Dr. Fauci, but I do feel like he has major blind spots.

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Speaking of being a good consumer of incomplete information versus and extraordinarily shitty consumer of, well, I’m not even sure it rises to the definition of information:

I mean, do the health officials supporting these holds have access to information about these cases that I don’t, and that’s making the difference? “The blood clots immediately follow vaccine symptoms.” “We’ve had no other deaths in the affected populations.” “The blood clots looked like gigantic covid molecules and with little mouths screaming, ‘It was the vaccine! The vaccine made me!’”

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If he surpasses bolsonaro about being an assholea covid denier, i guess the people from Tanzania probably won’t miss him.

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