Still not certain you’ve actually understood my point. Forgive me if you did, but I’ll clarify anyway.
You originally typed ETHICALLY not ETHNICALLY
ETA, BTW, I like to think of myself as one of those ethical Europeans, too! 
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The most likely outcome is that the military do not involve themselves domestically, whatever the election decides.
But the changes are much higher that your local sheriff or chief of police will take Trump’s orders, whoever wins the count. Even if Trump is running a government-in-exile from Mar-a-Lago.
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You are correct, missed that one 
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Hopefully it all makes sense now.
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This. Far too few people recognize any kind of room for predictions between “definite yes” and “definite no” no matter what words you use.
If scientists told us “There is a 1 in 10 chance turning on this machine will instantly vaporize the planet,” you don’t turn on the machine. If you do, and the planet is fine, that doesn’t mean they were wrong.
Edit to add: Off topic, but just in case you’re curious, there have been at least two instances where physicists have had to seriously ask this question. Most recently was whether the LHC could create stable black holes, and the answer was a very definite no. The other was the Manhattan project, when they weren’t sure if atmospheric nitrogen could support a chain reaction. During the Trinity test, the output was greater than expected, and James Conant later wrote that he briefly believed they had gotten it wrong and the world has only seconds left. Later, when they did similar calculations for thermonuclear weapons, they did get it wrong for lithium-7, resulting in yields 2.5x higher than planned, but thankfully the atmosphere isn’t full of lithium).
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“Nate Silver” explains it for us.
Some think the glass is half full, some see it as half empty, fair enough.
Not sure why you always think it’s piss.
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They update the model when new polls come in but they also just run the simulation every 4 hours and the numbers vary enough that the 1% back and forth (sometimes with a tie included, sometimes not) doesn’t really seem that meaningful, but it is hard not to obsess over it.
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Yes, the rational part of my brain is well aware that these minor fluctuations mean nothing and that there’s no meaningful difference between 9% and 10%, but the rest of me is still going to take this opportunity to freak the hell out. I’d like to direct this energy towards something productive but it’s a little late to donate more money and I’m not convinced that me signing up for a phone bank and maniacally yelling at out-of-state strangers to go vote will do more good than harm.
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@anon48584343… I just got back from the liquor store… Granted, I needed stuff to cook with and had sorely run out months ago (sherry, marsala, port, Pernod, etc.) But… 8 more bottles of wine, rum, rye, etc etc… $400 deep. Holy fuck. But I’m ready for tomorrow, I think.
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I trust you have good company to share all that with! 
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Not sure where you’re at, but this is my favorite store and it will be getting a visit for preparations for tomorrow. They don’t normally do free samples on weekdays, but for tomorrow they might need set up some free drinks
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I might share. We will see how things are going by about 9pm
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I hit up Total Wine just now, but Specs is definitely a good go to place.
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Nothing is certain, so go vote.
For us that have voted, here’s a good election night preview by Ben Tribbett. He looks at what will should happen in 30 minute increments as the different polls close.
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that’s reassuring : /
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I don’t know. This is the exact same caution they exercised in 2016 while lots of other outlets were busy preparing to celebrate and talking about trump tv. Despite everyone dragging Nate, he is still the source that every outlet cites for the most credible info. People got fooled and need someone to beat up. Nerds have always served well for that purpose.
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Damn, GA looks good in blue…
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