If Trump wins, help the trans* people get out of the country first. They are the ones being targeted by the republicans right now and who are at severe risk of being treated as subhuman, and while the richer trans people may be able to get out on their own, the poorer people may not be able to.
I might live in Britain, but starting that commune on St Kilda seems even more appealing than ever.
I’m going down with the ship. I’m going to stay and watch the horror from the inside.
538 is only updating their model when a state is decisively called by ABC News, or when they manually flag a state as “too close to call.”
The other networks are updating probabilities in real time based on states that haven’t been “called” yet.
I’m getting out while I can, hopefully before Riechstag Fire 2.0
And Muslims. Look at what happened in the UK, how hate crime went bananas. I saw my Muslim next door neighbor playing with her daughter in the yard earlier and I’m just fucking terrified for them now.
I’d guess that 538 is sticking to it’s original projections for undecided states wheras the rest are wiling to make new projections based on returns of 20-30%?
I don’t understand why with 99% reporting in Florida and no real way to call it otherwise, that the media outlets don’t just give Florida to Trump, because it is his until it’s contested after the fact. NYT gave Cali to Clinton based on precisely zero returns, so presumably entirely exit polls. But they hanging onto Florida like grim death.
I can definitely afford to stay on the inside: cis-male, white (passing), straight. Also, i have a death wish.
Because, otherwise, they have to print the words,
“Ladies and Gentlemen and viewers around the world, the next President of the United States… Donald J. Trump.”
And NYT among others also still projecting Clinton taking the popular vote, aka American Astrology.
Given the threatening postures struck by the Reds, over what they might do if they lost the election but won the vote, even I can appreciate the bitter irony of that being what happens the Clinton. I mean, did her side even invest in any militias to be ready for that if it happened?
And now the returns from Washington… excuse me but I was told by many that the Redoubt was a big joke, and it is that I would prefer to believe…
So 538 now has Clinton at 40% and Trump at 58%, so there’s two pieces of evidence (the obvious one and the math) that something’s wrong with the universe.
WA is all red on the east side. The counties on the west are all blue. King isn’t in yet, which is a huge amount of votes.
As for FL, I assume they are more hesitant to call a swing state - especially THAT one, until they’re really sure.
There’s a 2% chance (according to their model) that neither candidate can get to 270, in which case the election is sent to the House (President) and Senate (VP) to decide.
Since the House is Republican, it won’t help much.
That’s a lousy way to resolve it.
At that point each candidate ought be issued a blade that corrects the differences in reach between them.
This is brutal. I cannot believe this election is even close.
Your country is going to crash, and then mine will get sucked into the vortex. Fuck people.
Hey America, it looks like you are just about to elect Donald Trump as your president.
What the fuck is up with that?
While I’d like to hop out and go expat, and I could afford to do it (at this point), my kids are in college and I’m not pulling them out, so I’ve got to stay for now. It’ll make for some interesting stories for the grandkids I guess.
Turns out that there were enough angry white men left.
