We lost with him in '18, '20, and '22.
And '16 for that matter, if you count the popular vote and not our disgracefully broken electoral college bullshit.
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Remember, Trump got more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016. If we add 18 months of GOP driven congressional infighting and government dysfunction, it is possible that Biden’s popularity would dim enough for Trump to get elected . I don’t think that is the most probable outcome necessarily, but it seems more likely than the GOP splits into two parties, another possibility.
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They’re going for Trumpism without Trump
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