I wanted to post this in Games but it’s not clear to me that people would appreciate that. But the point of the thread is game-like. This discussion is where hopeful and wishful thinking goes out of the window. Here the focus is on where you think, for better or for disastrously worse, the race stands today.
“Today” is a bit of a moving target, of course, because I figure this thread will be useful up to election day 2016. But remember, the question isn’t who you think will ultimately win, just what would happen if the election were held today.
I recommend you build and share your own electoral map from:
It was the fastest-loading least crufty version of the map generators I’ve seen.
Here’s my best guess for an election today:
A solid Clinton win.
I think the Shock-Top mascot reject has really been handing himself a beating this week. I also think that people in states with a large Hispanic population are really going to turn out the vote and African-Americans have demonstrated that North Carolina an Virginia can be put into contention. I don’t think Tim Kaine helps all that much with Virginia, but Trump has really been scaring people lately. Believe me, I’m wary of wishful thinking, but I don’t see Trump winning today. Who knows what tomorrow brings.